Wind Energy Forecasting

Welcome to the home page of the wind energy forecasting strand of the WINDFORNEM project. The researchers for this strand are Iain MacGill, Hugh Outhred, Nicholas Cutler, Merlinde Kay and Muhammad Khalid. The goals of this strand are to: Research, develop and test a new wind energy forecasting method (or new part of) in relation to Australia’s wind energy forecasting needs. Complement and build on the work being done in the AGO’s WEFC program delivering a wind energy forecasting framework/system for the National Electricity Market. Status/News 17th Aug 2009 Nick Cutler graduated! and his PhD thesis is now available here. 16th January 2009 Nick Cutler submitted his PhD thesis entitled: "Characterising the Uncertainty in Potential Large, Rapid Changes in Wind Power Generation". August 2007 Research paper published online for the Wind Energy Journal. Title: "Detecting, Categorising and Forecasting Large Ramps in Wind Farm Power Output using Meteorological Observations and WPPT", Vol. 10, pp 453-470. Authors: Nicholas Cutler, Kieran Jacka, Torben Skov Nielsen and Merlinde Kay. Available at [link].

Activities

1-4 June 2008

Nick presented at the AWEA Windpower Conference in Exhibition in Houston, Texas. Presentation title: "Adding Value to Wind Power Forecasts During Periods of High Uncertainty ".

28 May 2008

Nick presented at the Second Workshop on Best Practice in Use of Short-term Prediction in Madrid Spain. Presentation title: "Seeing a bigger picture from NWPs for Wind Power Forecasts During Periods of High Uncertainty ".

8-9 April 2008

Nick presented at the New Zealand Wind Energy Conference in Wellington, New Zealand. Presentation title: "Using Numerical Weather Prediction forecasts at multiple grid points to assist power system operators to predict large rapid changes in wind power ".

7-10 May 2007

Nick presented a poster entitled "High-Risk Scenarios for Wind Power Forecasting in Australia" at the European Wind Energy Conference in Milan, Italy.

5-8 February 2007

Merlinde presented a paper entitled "Challenges in Wind Energy Forecasting" at the Australian Meteorological and Oceanic Society annual conference in Adelaide.

28 November - 1 December 2006

Nick and Merlinde attended the eighteenth annual BMRC Modelling Workshop at the Bureau of Meteorology in Melbourne.

22 September 2006

A Wind Energy Forecasting Workshop was held on Friday 22 September 2006, hosted by the University of South Australia in Adelaide. The workshop featured 10 speakers and a total of 29 participants. More information about the workshop is available here.

18-21 September 2006

The wind energy forecasting team will all participate in the Global Wind Energy Conference (GWEC) in Adelaide.

Nick will present his work with Hydro Tasmania: "The First Australian Installation of the Wind Power Prediction Tool".

July 2006

Nick participated in the Bureau of Meteorology's Weather Forecasting Laboratory Course in Melbourne.

May-June 2006

Nick worked with Hydro Tasmania in Hobart - The First Australian Installation of the Wind Power Prediction Tool.

March and May 2006

Nick took the 3 VIEPS courses (University of Melbourne) for the Atmospheric and Ocean Science honours program.

For the main project page, click here.